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INDEX / JOBS / TRUCK-DRIVER

Truck Driver

LogisticsCRITICAL DECLINING

Operates heavy commercial vehicles for long-haul and regional freight transportation.

2yr viability
52
5yr viability
32
10yr viability
15
Workforce 10yr
10
0255075100workforce 10%52%32%15%2 YR5 YR10 YR
Solid line: viability (100 = safe from AI). Dashed: workforce remaining. Method: 8-lens automation model. Full methodology →
Analysis
Autonomous trucking is progressing rapidly on highway corridors. Regulatory and infrastructure hurdles provide a buffer, but long-haul trucking faces significant disruption. Last-mile and complex urban delivery may persist longer.
Pressures
Autonomous corridors scalingHIGH
Protections
Regulatory lag buys timeMED
Last-mile complexity persistsMED
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AI-analyzed, human-reviewed. Scores are structured estimates, not guarantees. Not career or financial advice.